Italy vs England – Euro 2020 Final

    England Harry Kane

    Euro 2020 – Sunday 11th July 20.00

    It’s Italy vs England in the final of Euro 2020. We take a look at the stats and best football tips.

    Italy face England in the Euro 2020 final and we find out which team is going to get their hands on the trophy. The two teams last played back in 2018, a 1-1 draw with goals from Jamie Vardy and Lorenzo Insigne.

    The odds are tight with the bookies offering 19/10 on an Italy win, 2/1 on the draw and 17/10 for an England win.

    England beat Denmark 2-1 with an extra time Harry Kane penalty and Italy drew 1-1 with Spain, winning the game on penalties.

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    Italy – PL 6 | Won 4 | GF 12 | GA 3

    The Italians looked impressive during the group stages and have managed to keep going despite being taken to extra time twice in three knockout games. They secured an impressive 2-1 victory against Belgium in the quarter finals and beat Spain on penalties in the semi finals. In both of those games Italy did actually lose on xG though conceding 1.7 xG in both games and against Spain only getting 0.4 xG themselves and have conceded in each of their last three games. Mancini has Italy set up in a style that suits and allows them to play to their strengths. It’s advantage Italy for me as they have knocked out two top sides in Belgium and Spain whereas England have not yet been tested by a top side.

    Key Stats (Average Per Match)

    • Shots – 16
    • Shots on Target – 8
    • Corners – 4
    • Cards – 1
    • Tackles – 8

    Shots on Target:

    • Ciro Immobile – 0.70 SOT per 90
    • Lorenzo Insigne – 1.29 SOT per 90
    • Manuel Locatelli – 1.09 SOT per 90


    England – PL 6 | Won 4 | GF 9 | GA 1

    The Three Lions finally conceded a goal against Denmark after five clean sheets in a row but still looked dominant and responded really well to going behind. They have been brilliant but this will be their biggest test by far and it’s quite hard to judge just how good England are because they have had such a good route to the final. I don’t think England will ever get a better chance to win a major final and the players seem to be handling the pressure well. Games have been going to extra time quite regularly and i would not be surprised if this one does. That could be advantage England who have such a good bench and can bring on the pace of Grealish, Sancho and Rashford against tired opposition legs.

    Key Stats (Average Per Match)

    • Shots – 8
    • Shots on Target – 3
    • Corners – 3.6
    • Cards – 0.8
    • Tackles – 5

    Shots on Target:

    • Raheem Sterling – 1.13 SOT per 90
    • Harry Kane – 1.11 SOT per 90
    • Harry Maguire – 0.67 SOT per 90


    Betting Tips: I think this will be a very tight game with barely anything to choose between the two sides. The Italians have passed bigger tests on their run to the final but have almost scrapped through the knockouts. I favour Italy’s midfield to be better technically but Rice and Phillips work together brilliantly and will make it tough for the Italians. 

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    Italy Squad

    Goalkeepers: Gianluigi Donnarumma (Milan), Alex Meret (Napoli), Salvatore Sirigu (Torino)

    Defenders: Francesco Acerbi (Lazio), Alessandro Bastoni (Inter), Leonardo Bonucci (Juventus), Giorgio Chiellini (Juventus), Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli), Emerson Palmieri (Chelsea), Alessandro Florenzi (Paris), Gianluca Mancini (Roma), Leonardo Spinazzola (Roma), Rafael Toloi (Atalanta)

    Midfielders: Nicolò Barella (Inter), Bryan Cristante (Roma), Jorginho (Chelsea), Manuel Locatelli (Sassuolo), Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma), Matteo Pessina (Atalanta), Stefano Sensi (Inter), Marco Verratti (Paris)

    Forwards: Andrea Belotti (Torino), Domenico Berardi (Sassuolo), Federico Bernardeschi (Juventus), Federico Chiesa (Juventus), Ciro Immobile (Lazio), Lorenzo Insigne (Napoli), Matteo Politano (Napoli)


    England Squad

    Goalkeepers: Dean Henderson (Manchester United), Sam Johnstone (West Bromwich Albion), Jordan Pickford (Everton), Aaron Ramsdale (Sheffield United)

    Defenders: Trent Alexander-Arnold (Liverpool), Ben Chilwell (Chelsea), Conor Coady (Wolves), Ben Godfrey (Everton), Reece James (Chelsea), Harry Maguire (Manchester United), Tyrone Mings (Aston Villa), Luke Shaw (Manchester United), John Stones (Manchester City), Kieran Trippier (Atlético), Kyle Walker (Manchester City), Ben White (Brighton & Hove Albion)

    Midfielders: Jude Bellingham (Dortmund), Jordan Henderson (Liverpool), Jesse Lingard (Manchester United), Mason Mount (Chelsea), Kalvin Phillips (Leeds United), Declan Rice (West Ham), James Ward-Prowse (Southampton)

    Forwards: Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Everton), Phil Foden (Manchester City), Jack Grealish (Aston Villa), Mason Greenwood (Manchester United), Harry Kane (Tottenham), Marcus Rashford (Manchester United), Bukayo Saka (Arsenal), Jadon Sancho (Dortmund), Raheem Sterling (Manchester City), Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa)

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